CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2024-12-29T01:23:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2024-12-29T01:23Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/36076/-1
CME Note: CME seen to the south in SOHO LASCO imagery faintly in white light imagery and southeast in STEREO A COR2 imagery; seems to be associated with a relatively minor eruption with southern deflection just west of AR 3938 (N20W01) near central meridian but with lower confidence potentially associated with AR 3939 (S18E33) as seen in GOES SUVI 131, 171, 195, 284, and best in 304 imagery.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2024-12-31T15:44Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 8.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-12-31T16:51Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.66667 - 6.33333
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: -173.22 hour(s)
Difference: -1.12 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:57Z

CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy